Germany or Brazil most likely to win World Cup – UBS

A report, ‘Investing and football’ from UBS Wealth Management’s chief investment office, assesses team prospects at the tournament

Webroot Special Report cover - football penalty
On the ball: UBS Global Wealth Management’s chief investment office expects the defending champions to triumph

UBS Global Wealth Management’s chief investment office has deployed econometric tools it uses for spotting investment opportunities to predict the most likely outcome of this year’s World Cup – that defending champions Germany will triumph.

The Swiss manager used Monte Carlo simulations to predict the path of the championship. Instead of mapping out all of the different possibilities, they drew on a large number of random variables and used them to bring in a random component to their calculati

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