Opinion
Appreciating the euro
With economic conditions in the eurozone worsening, the authorities are unlikely to allow the euro’s strengthening to continue, says Mitul Kotecha, global head of FX research at Credit Agricole Indosuez in London
You have the right to remain bullish
Indonesia’s currency has offered arresting yields, while the Singapore dollar is supported by its powerful monetary authority. Further gains in both are likely, say Standard Chartered’s Claudio Piron and Marios Maratheftis.
Step right up for Aussie risk hedging
Fears of Australian dollar volatility could be laid to rest by a step payment option, say Paul Rhodes and Gail Sheridan, financial engineers at UBS Warburg in London.
The leveraged reverse knock-in forward
With the recent strengthening of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar, a Canadian exporter with US receivables would be wise to consider a reverse knock-in forward, says Richard Stang, vice-president in FX sales at TD Securities in Toronto
Falling dollar, limited external adjustment
Issues surrounding capital flows and surpluses could lead to some countries reconsidering their currency pegs, says Steven Englander (right), chief currency strategist, Americas, at Barclays Capital in New York
Cycles, structures and the dollar
It is difficult to ascertain what drives the capital markets at any one time. Market participants often seem to confuse cyclical and structural factors, and this is especially true of the dollar now, says Marc Chandler, chief currency strategist at HSBC…
Riding with the euro
A European client buying US dollars should consider a three-year swap to use the current euro strength to their advantage, says Pritpal Gill, head of structuring at Lehman Brothers in London
Loonie zooms
Canadian dollar strength is set to continue, say Lauren Germain and David Mozina, of Bank of America’s FX strategy group in New York. And the market is reacting accordingly
A firm view on the rand
Unexpected data revealing South Africa’s current account surplus has led Merrill Lynch to cite a firm view on the rand. Jos Gerson, chief economist for South Africa in Cape Town, explains key factors that must be taken into account in coming to a solution
When stocks rocket
Markets are expecting a post war rally in equities. Jesper Dannesboe, chief FX strategist at Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein in London, looks at the implications for FX
Dare to compete
The Canadian dollar has a chance to shine, but will domestic exporters seize the opportunity? asks Craig Larimer (right), managing director, international research group, Banc One Capital Markets in Chicago
The ‘leverage range forward’ approach
A UK company exporting to the US looking to hedge long-term USD receivables may enter a ‘leverage range forward’ strategy to boost the hedge level, says Didier Meyer, FX options structurer and marketer at SG in Paris
The fog of war
What should you do when near-term uncertainties cloud the FX outlook? Concentrate on the medium term and rely on the fundamentals, say Yianos Kontopoulos (right) and Marcel Kasumovich, FX strategists at Merrill Lynch in New York
The outperformance chooser option
Gavin Simms, head of FX strategies at Goldman Sachs in London, summarises an options solution for a euro-denominated corporate client looking to hedge sales in the US and Switzerland
The fog of war
What should you do when near-term uncertainties cloud the FX outlook? Concentrate on the medium term and rely on the fundamentals, say Yianos Kontopoulos (right) and Marcel Kasumovich, FX strategists at Merrill Lynch in New York
Aussie calls offer no worries hedge
Sara Sullivan, senior manager, FX options sales at ANZ Investment Bank in London, summarises an options solution for a corporate client concerned about a reversal of the AUD strength against the USD.
War and the dollar
Near-term dollar direction will now depend on the length and ‘success’ of the war. But those factors are far from certain, says Jake Moore, FX strategist at Barclays Capital in Tokyo.
Sterling caught in the middle
The relationship between sterling/dollar and euro/dollar has broken down since the start of the year, resulting in sterling’s recent under-performance, says Lena Komileva (right), EMEA economist at Prebon Marshall Yamane in London.
After feast comes famine for the dollar
The US dollar may have been feasting on inflowing money in recent years but, says Pete Luxton, global economic adviser at MMS International in London, it is now going hungry
Bloc boosting
Rising commodity prices and high yields have boosted the ‘dollar bloc’ currencies, and the trend is set to continue, says David Mozina, head of G10 FX strategy at Banc of America Securities in New York
Trichet still best bet for ECB job
Jean-Claude Trichet’s trial is not an insurmountable obstacle to his accession to ECB presidency. But while the outcome is uncertain, French officials must come up with a back-up candidate, says Stephen Sandelius, Paris correspondent for Market News…
A focus on partnerships
Vision, transparency and communication are key to FX outsourcing partnerships, says Kiril Alexiev, assistant vice-president in Global FX Strategic Alliances at ABN Amro in Chicago
Digital strike combats Korean hedging worries
A local importer in South Korea with upcoming dollar payables would be wise to consider a digital strike forward as tensions increase in North Korea, says Charlie Brown, head of structuring and solutions for global FX options at Standard Chartered Bank…
Give every DOG its day
The threat of war in Iraq, and the political and financial fallout, has brought dollar weakness. But this narrow focus ignores a more telling relationship across the asset classes -- that of dollar, oil and gold, says Gerald Ashley