Opinion

Sri Lanka rupee set to fall further

Domestic pressures and the rising oil price are likely to lead to further devaluation of the Sri Lankan rupee, say David Mann, senior international economist and Gill James, chief economist for the Middle East and South Asia at Standard Chartered in…

Making amends for seasonal trends

Lower volatility and range-bound markets call for capital preservation with enhanced yields during the summer, says Jeffrey Lins, director of quantitative analysis at Saxo Bank in Copenhagen

Is sterling heading for a fall?

Falling UK corporate profitability and a new cable high spurs memories of 1992 and Black Monday, says Hans Redeker, global head of FX strategy at BNP Paribas in London

Selling options to resolve carry trade dilemma

Clients are putting off dollar/yen carry trades until the yen appreciates. But by selling options on cross-currency swaps, clients could earn money while waiting for the Japanese unit to reach a level more suitable for a carry trade, says Phileas Wong,…

Structured euro deposit adds cash as it hedges

A structured deposit denominated in euro can fulfill the twin goals of a European company by hedging its US dollar payables and generating a cash-rich position in its functional currency, says Didier Meyer, FX structurer at SG Corporate and Investment…

Central bank financing down

Foreign central bank financing of the US trade deficit is now below 30%. This means the quality of financing of the US structural deficit continues to deteriorate and pressure to sell the dollar will intensify, says Chris Turner, senior partner for FX at…

Hedge and gain during euro/dollar volatility

A six-month ‘volatile forward’ can help a firm hedge safely while also benefiting from a choppy euro/dollar market, say Eric Ohayon, European head of FX structuring, and Chris Weiss, FX structurer at Bank of America in London

Property pressures the pound

As UK property price growth slows, investors are moderating their view on the Bank of England tightening cycle. This could add to sterling weakness, says Adam Myers at SG CIB in London

Dollar set to depreciate

Net capital inflows will exceed the US current account deficit over the next year, prompting dollar depreciation to begin again, says Jay Bryson, economics analyst at Wachovia Bank in Charlotte, North Carolina

How to make yen gains amid intervention fears

A currency overlay manager may wish to take advantage of fresh yen strength without being exposed to the impact of renewed intervention. Simon Derrick, head of Bank of New York's currency strategy team, describes a simple, low-cost way to express this…

Boosting dollar returns during euro strength

To boost returns on a US dollar deposit in a bullish euro environment, a European exporter would be wise to consider an FX tarn with conversion, says Christophe Bouculat, senior FX structurer at Calyon in Paris

Kiwi ripens against Aussie

The New Zealand dollar is rising against the Aussie in line with interest rate differentials. But potential growth in Australia may cap its gains, says Sue Trinh, currency strategist at the Bank of New Zealand in Wellington

Improver knock-in forward for dollar bears

With the widely held belief that dollar/yen has scope to fall much further, Royal Bank of Canada's financial engineering team in London proposes a solution for a client wanting to buy US dollar forwards at more attractive rates. An 'improver knock-in…

An obsession with oil

Swiss franc, Norwegian krone and euro gains may be about to reverse, says Steven Pearson, chief currency strategist at HBOS Treasury Services in London

Volatility troubles traders

High intra-day volatility is making life difficult for forex traders, says Shahab Jalinoos, senior FX strategist at ABN Amro in London

Long-term solution for dollar/rupee liability

With the Indian rupee rising and a low federal funds rate, Amit Bansal, head of treasury at Barclays Capital in Mumbai, proposes a solution for a corporate to take advantage of the inverted swap points

Election jitters

A tight presidential race could spell trouble ahead for the US dollar, says Peter Luxton (right) global markets adviser at Informa Global Markets in London

Terrorism threatens Turkish lira

Turkey’s proximity to the worsening situation in Iraq is prompting an outflow of capital and sending the lira spiralling downwards, says Neil Mellor, FX strategist at Bank of New York in London

China to stick with peg

While Chinese officials have hinted a yuan peg change may be imminent, Adrian Foster, FX strategist at Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein in Singapore sees change unlikely in 2004

Solving investment problems with forex

An asset manager may look to euro/Swiss franc and euro/sterling structures to take advantage of investor uncertainty, says David Durrant, chief currency strategist at Julius Baer Asset Management International in New York

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